Week 1. Thursday Games

Tonight have enough games in schedule, but most of them has many “ifs” and I don’t see positions with value, which is enough to qualify for official bets. 

Cedevita – Unicaja

Cedevita will miss R.Ukic, while Ramljak is in doubts with virus infection. Repesa told to the press, that Euroleague came one year before they planned and I fully agree with him. Croatian team has enough talented croatian players but they have no experience at this level and team urgently needed at least 2 euroleague level players to compete with other teams.

On other side we have Unicaja which is looking very good at the start of the season and has depth and experience in their roster. Suarez is the only miss, but that’s not a big problem.

I see Unicaja as clear favorite in this match as well as bookies do. I would set them as -7.5 points and it means that we have no value against the current line.

Efes Pilsen – Unics

Here we have two completely renewed teams, which are yet to find their best game.

Efes has more or less good starting five but looks very weak on the bench. Cenk Akyol and Birkan Batuk are sidelined. Akyol has a broken foot and Batuk is recovering from a knee injury. But these missings were known and line “includes” them.

Unics has full roster available, but Pedoulakis already doing strange things in Kazan. He has at his disposal really good Russian players who forms its bench (Bykov, Lykhodei and Gubanov), but can’t find minutes for them even in VTB league against weak opponents. Ok, I agree that main players are better and more experienced, but currently team struggles against much weaker team. If you remember, they were “-18” down with Asvel in Euroleague qualification.

My line here is -1.5/146.5 and despite there is some value on Unics, I prefer to skip this match. I fully understand why bookies want to see money on Unics side, but if line would be +3 on Efes – I would pick hosts here with small stake.

Maccabi – Limoges

Too difficult game to analyze at this moment. I need to see new version of Maccabi first to understand their way of playing this season. Limoges is quite weak team, but could be in better form than Maccabi with 3 official games played in LNB league. 

Red Star – Galatasaray

Red star will host this game in Kombank arena, so great audience is expected in Belgrade. But what Red Star needs more – quality players on the bench. Galatasaray has much better and experienced roster, but at any cost I can’t see them as -4.5 points favorite in Belgrade to take them at current odds. 
Total line set more or less fair. 

Valencia – Olympiacos

For Olympiacos Georgios Printezis is out for three more weeks due to an ankle injury and Tremmell Darden broke his arm in the pre-season and is still sidelined. Some problems are also registered Lojeski, Papapetrou and Katsivelis but all them expected to be on court today. 
Valencia still can’t count on B.Dubljevic, but what really bothers me is their form. They lost to Murcia and won against weak Sevilla (not without problems and up and downs during the match). Seems that Doellman departure to Barcelona is a too big blow for valencian team and they’ll need more time to find their new leader on the court, because so far there is no leader. 
My line here is +0.5/156.5 and again no value for pick. 
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