Real without Ayon again, but he was absent whole season and team is already adapted to play without him. Real needs to win to establish itself at 4th position. With a loss their situation will be more complicated, but not dramatic, becasue they have easy schedule in next round and h2h against all possible ties.
Zalgiris is not yet officialy qualified, but they are 95% in the playoffs already. Jasikevicius said that they will try to fight for home court advantage, but their chances are very low due the bad h2h and difficult schedule ahead.
I don’t see anything interesting in -9/164 line.
Olimpia Milano – Valencia
86 – 84
Maccabi – Panathinaikos
78 – 75
Brose – Unicaja
80 – 74
Olympiacos – Efes
86 – 71
Khimki – CSKA
77 – 87
Regal Barcelona – Baskonia
81 – 78
This week he has recovered young base Marc Garcia after four months out due to an injury to his left shoulder, but neither Adam Hanga, Rakim Sanders and Kevin Séraphin will be ready and only Sasha Vezenkov could be ready. Baskonia has full roster, but M.Huertas is doubtful with wrist injury.
Motivation is pretty simple here. Baskonia wants revenge for Cup loss and needs points in their fight with Maccabi for 8th spot in the standings. But Barcelona is good team enough to compete against Baskonia size team for a win, even with 3 important players out. I really don’t see notning easy for Baskonia in Catalonia. But so far motivated teams wins in Euroleague needed games and I am not sure that we should take Barcelona only due the value here.
Total market is difficult to bet, because season average gives me 156-169 points range and 149 attacks, but they played 3 times this season and did 159, 161 and 166 attacks in those games. So looks that correction to 168.5 pts total looks like a smart move from bookmakers. First we need to see the pace and than decide if we should back under here.
So the lean here is Barcelona to win due the value, but this is against my rules. It’s always a tricky situation to stay with value or motivation factor.
Let others know your opinion:
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