Euroleague Week 29. Betting Preview and Picks

 

Luigi Datome against Khimki

Power Rating

BC Khimki

Khimki – Fenerbahce

Pick:

Under 155 @ 1.92 7/10 WON

Fenerbahce Dogus
Tied for the fourth-best record in the competition, Khimki is in the mix for home-court advantage in the playoffs. Fener has already secured that and will lock up second place with a victory and an Olympiacos Piraeus loss on Friday. Fenerbahce has won its last three meetings with Khimki, including a 71-67 decision in Istanbul in Round 9 behind 20 points on 4-of-5 three-point shooting from James Nunnally.

I see good chances for Under here. Both teams playing slow pace, in Turkey they did just 133 attacks and I expect same today. Even with high shooting percentage there are pretty much space to stay Under 155 points.

  • Home avg. scoring: 1.03-1.11 pts/attack
  • Away avg. scoring: 1.09-1.18 pts/attack
  • Expected pace: 133 attacks
  • Expected total range: 141-152 points

Trends:

  • Khimki 8-2 for Under in last 10 home games

 

Anadolu Efes

Anadolu Efes – Maccabi Tel Aviv

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FC Barcelona
Brose Baskets

Brose – Olimpia Milano

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Olimpia Milano
Baskonia

Baskonia – Maccabi

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Maccabi Tel Aviv
Unicaja

Unicaja – Olympiacos

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Olympiacos
BC Zalgiris

Zalgiris – CSKA

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CSKA Moscow
Old rivals meet again in Kaunas as Zalgiris (16-12) hopes to maintain its chances of a top-four finish, while CSKA Moscow (23-5) can prepare for the playoffs knowing that first place is already guaranteed. Just this century, these two historic foes have faced each other 19 times, with an overwhelming 1-18 for CSKA.

Zalgiris has 2 important missings for this match. A.White is doubtful (seems to be out for sure) and A.Toupane is out with unknown type on injury. Both players are extremely important, because provide defense and athleticism to the game. Without them Zalgiris will have huge troubles defensively against all-mighty CSKA offense. We can expect more minutes from Milaknis and Kavaliauskas, who are great in scoring, but very weak defenders.

This game should be great joy for fans, because CSKA offense will score as many points as they want tonight. Zalgiris will try to pursue them, but at 40 minute distance CSKA defense should do the job somewhere. I like the idea to take over here, but unfortunately game pace will play against us. Any percentage drop will kill the over bet.

  • Home avg. scoring: 1.12-1.19 pts/attack
  • Away avg. scoring: 1.08-1.16 pts/attack
  • Expected pace: 147 attacks
  • Expected total range: 162-172 points

If you want to bet something here, I would advice to take CSKA win @ 1.40 to combo or CSKA over 86.5. But both bets are with low value.

Crvena Zvezda

Olympiacos – Brose Baskets

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Real Madrid
Panathinaikos

Panathinaikos – Valencia

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BC Valencia
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