At the moment I’m really disappointed with my results and selections. Somehow teams playing very different from my expectations, but I was in that situation before and the only thing I know that I should not change my mindset due the poor run. Sometimes we lose due the unbelievable shooting percentages, sometimes I do bad selections. But you can’t know what is good and what is bad before the game finishes. I always do my homework and know where exactly I lost.
Let’s continue with Round 14 and another 8 games ahead.
CSKA, Olympiacos, Zalgiris and Fenerbahce are hottest team in Euroleague at the moment.
Barcelona, Valencia and Efes are in red zone, but I think they will improve very soon. Especially Valencia and Efes, because they are not getting so much public support as big teams like Barcelona.
Valencia is one of the teams that closes the standings with only three victories and four victories separated him from the eighth place, which makes it very difficult for him to reach those positions. A new defeat would make it almost impossible, which would require rethinking the way to face the tournament in the coming months and would be a major moral blow. For this match, Txus Vidorreta will keep the casualties of Antoine Diot, Sergi Garcia, Joan Sastre and Latavious Williams. Also, Guillem Vives base will be doubt until the last moment, because he could not complete the crash in Madrid to increase the discomfort that has dragged for weeks in the ankle. The fact of not having to play any match until next December 28 could increase the chances of playing Vives, which will have more days to recover.
Zalgiris has huge 6-1 ATS record on the road. Everybody is healthy and ready to fight. But this season they are 0-2 ATS on those occasions, when they are after win and 1 day rest in Euroleague. And those games were at home (against Real and Baskonia). This time they again plays spanish team, but on the road. And Valencia is in clear must-win situation.
As for me Zalgiris is quite far from being favorite against Valencia on neutral ground. Valencia has huge experience as team, they are very strong at home and losing there only on rare occasions. They in must win situation and I am quite suprised to see them as -3 home favorite. Despite their poor record I still see them at least at home favorite and -4,5 or -5 spread looks more fair to me.
Maccabi will have troubles here with imposing high rhytm against strong Fenerbahce defense. I expect about 140 attacks here, and teams should score with 1.13 pts/attack to reach 158 points. But Maccabi had just 2/7 games with 1.13 pts/attack efficency, while Fenerb also had only 2 of 7 games, where shooting percentage was at that level. It’s about 70% to win Under 157.5 in case game pace will be at 140 attacks.
Brose Baskets – Real Madrid
CSKA Moscow – Khimki
Anadolu Efes – Olympiacos
Baskonia – Barcelona
Unicaja – Olimpia Milano
Let others know your opinion:
Want to get more Euroleague picks & previews delivered daily to your email? Become a paid member and get predictions with 19% ROI in last 4 seasons! Check the stats!
Earn more profit with highest odds on handicaps and totals at Pinnacle!