Euroleague Week 20 Betting Tips and Previews

Vincent Poirier

Power Rating

CSKA still at the the top of power rating with Real Madrid staying at 2nd position. Zalgiris, Panathinaikos and Fenerbahce – stopped to progress recently and getting some pressure from Khimki and Milan, who are getting hot lately.

Last week Khimki done great run by winning both games against Brose and Olympiacos with handicap coverage.

Betting Advices and Tips for Week 18

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Panathinaikos

Panathinaikos – Zalgiris

Pick

Zalgiris +9 @ 1.94 WON

BC Zalgiris
Panathinaikos has important game against Olympiacos on 29/1 and might be there already with their minds. But normally they should take care about h2h advantage over Zalgiris, because both teams are tied with 12-7 in Euroleague standings and both fighting for home court advantage. 
 
The problem is with Zalgiris mindset right now. Jasikevicius doesn’t want to give more than needed and risk too much. P.Jankunas left at home to heal injury, but in important game he would play. Seems that Zalgiris doesn’t care a lot about their standings right now. Their goal is to win all home matches and that should be enough to finish in Top-8. Seems that right now games against Maccabi and Khimki at home is their top priority. And in Athens they will do their best to hold +6 from first round. 
 
Zalgiris is 7-3 ATS this season in away games and 7-2 as road underdogs. Of course, P.Jankunas is a big miss, but if market will move to -8,5 or -9 – I think it’s worth taking guests. Panathinaikos form not at best right now, they very depends on shooting percentage at home and defensively not so good as expected. 
  • Home avg. scoring: 1.09-1.15 pts/attack
  • Away avg. scoring: 1.05-1.18 pts/attack
  • Expected pace: 140 attacks
  • Expected total range: 150-163 points
Real Madrid

Real Madrid – Anadolu Efes

Free Preview

 

Anadolu Efes
The signing of Toney Douglas by Efes has given them another referent in the score, adding to Errick McCollum, Derrick Brown, who did not play in the first leg, and Bryant Dunston, who together with Krunoslav Simon, Zoran Dragic, Vladimir Stimac and Brock Motum form the main body of the team.

Anthony Randolph is covering the last stage of readaptacion to the equipment and could have some minutes of game. Luka Doncic, that finishes recovering of angina, and Trey Thompkins, with a stomach problem, are out and will hot help Real Madrid today.

Efes doesn’t play any defense after losing realistic promotion chances. Real can score as much they want, but their offense is limited tonight. If Pablo Lasso will rotate his scorers at some point of the game Real might turn their defense on and make it difficult to score over 169,5.

I think it’s better to stay away from betting here, but if look something to bet here my advice would be Over 169,5 or First Half over.

Unicaja

Unicaja – Baskonia

 

Baskonia
Both teams are tied with 8-11 at 9-10th place and pursuing Maccabi, which is at 8 place with 10 victories. The winner will continue the playoff run. Mega important game for both teams, but I don’t see any value here. There are questions about A.Nedovic availability for the hosts, who is very important player for them.
 
Everything might happen here and skip is the best option for betting. 
CSKA Moscow

CSKA – Brose Baskets

Brose Baskets
Fenerbahce Dogus

Efes – Fenerbahce

FC Barcelona
Crvena Zvezda

Crvena Zvezda – Olympiacos

Pick

Under 150.5 @ 1.93 

Olympiacos
 I expect defensive minded aproach from both teams here. Both experience difficulties in overcoming offensive problems against good defensive teams and both can defend well, especially Olympiacos. Game pace should be slow to hold this game under 150 points. Actually this is more stats & trends bet, so nothing to add here.

Not much value under the belt, so I advice to take it with smaller stakes as system bet.

  • Home avg. scoring: 1.05-1.17 pts/attack
  • Away avg. scoring: 0.94-1.05 pts/attack
  • Expected pace: 137 attacks
  • Expected total range: 136-152 points

Trends:

  • Olympiacos 8-2 for Under on the road
  • Crvena Zvezda 3-1 for Under in last 4 home games

Pick: Under 149.5 @ 1.93 5/10

BC Valencia

Valencia – Khimki

BC Khimki
Olimpia Milano

Olimpia Milano – Maccabi

Maccabi Tel Aviv
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