Baskonia looks like more motivated side here. They are fighting for Top-8 spot, while Panathinaikos is already there and feel safe. Panathinaikos signed center Adreian Payne (2.11 meters, 26 years old) for the remainder of the season.
As for me PAO and Baskonia are at the same quality level and -4.5 is right handicap. We have just one point value, but that’s enough for system bet. Because Baskonia is one of the best underdogs in Euroleague.
Baskonia 8-3 ATS on the road and 7-3 as underdogs
I expect tough battle with some winning chances for the guests here.
Valencia – CSKA Moscow
Unicaja – Anadolu Efes
Fenerbahce – Brose Baskets
Crvena Zvezda – Olimpia Milano
Zalgiris – Khimki
Khimki +4,5 @ 1.90
There are some health troubles in Zalgiris this evening. B.Davies and A.Kavaliauskas has angina. B.Udrih has leg muscle injury. Davies was on trainings, Kavaliauskas has not trained and probably out. B.Udrih situation is unknown.
This game is important for both teams. Zalgiris should secure playoff spot as soon as possible and with a victory tonight they almost in playoffs. Khimki also doing everything to run away from 9th position in the standings. Khimki had game on Monday against CSKA, but that should not affect them too much, because 3 days is more than enough to recover.
Home avg. scoring: 1.13-1.20 pts/attack
Away avg. scoring: 1.05-1.16 pts/attack
Expected pace: 145 attacks
Expected total range: 158-171 points
Over/Under betting is difficult here, because normaly both teams tends to slow down the pace, but in Khimki they played quite fast and did 159 attacks. Also Khimki are 7-3 for Under at home and it’s not good for Over bet, and Zalgiris is overish team. Bookies tried to balance the line and did that well. I prefer not to risk money on total betting here.
The only position I like here – Khimki spread. Russian team is good ATS form right now (4-1 in last 5 road games) and season long 7-3 ATS also looks very nice, has a lot of talent offensively (and that’s a big problem for soft Zalgiris defense) and their defense is impressive too.
I expect very difficult game for Zalgiris with possible Khimki victory.
Real Madrid – Olympiacos
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