Barcelona without Oleson and Renfroe will try to end their losing streak in away games in Kaunas. But Zalgiris has perfect opportunity to return into playoffs fight with a win too.
Huge game for both teams. They are matched in the standings with 8-12 record and 2 wins away from 8th position. The winner will get a real chance to fight for the playoffs.
Offense of Lithuanian team is very predictable. If you want to win against take care about Kevin Pangos, because when he scores 14+ pts Zalgiris win or take handicap. Don’t forget about Jankunas & Westermann, who are another scoring options. All other players are less dangerous and not so talented to win matches solely.
As for Barcelona there are other problems. With so many players involved into process due injuries it’s hard to expect balanced game, especially from bench players. Their games is based on T.Rice scoring and Tomic rebounds and points from paint. Stop them both – and Barcelona starts to struggle offensively. Their role players are more talented than Zalgiris youngsters, but they are not so well integrated into the game schemes.
Zalgiris defense has improved a lot, but offensively they are not looking so good as they were at the start of the season. Barcelona offense also troubled these days. There are doubts about Eriksson and Kopponen particiaption in this game. With or without them I expect slow game with many defensive work from both sides. I hardly see Zalgiris scoring more than 69 points and expect them to stop Barcelona under 75 points.
As for the outcome I predict close game until the last minutes, where Barcelona will prevail with their class.
In depth stats & trends
- Home avg. pace: 144 attacks (-)
- Home avg. scoring: 1.078 pts/attack
- Away average pace: 139 attacks (-)
- Away avg. scoring: 1.00 pts/attack
- Expected pace: 136 attack
- Expected total range: 133-152 points
- Barca is 9/10 for Under 152 in away games.
- Zalgiris 3-0 for UNDER in last 3 home games
- Barcelona is 9-1 UNDER in away games
Prediction: Zalgiris 68 -76 Barcelona
Pick: Under 150 @ 1.93 Pinnacle