Galatasaray shows signs of life in last 2 rounds. They competed well against Real in Spain, than won against Olympiacos at home and now travels to Kaunas to win there. Zalgiris also dreams about second victory and Zalgiris arena is best place to get it.
Turkish teams belong to bottom level group, where Zalgiris can compete well. Lithuanian team showing signs of progress, especially offensively, where more and more players find their angles & moments to attack. 8 players scores 5.5+ points per game. Today they will play against weak defensive team, so offense might work might better than it worked against good defensive teams. But there are two problems, where Zalgiris struggling. First one – is ability to win games close games (weak coach, no top-class players – are main reasons) and second is bad defense.. Zalgiris is 5-1 for Overs and except one game with Baskonia, they failed to limit opponents offense from scoring their average shooting percentage.
I expect high paced game (156-158 attaks) here, because both teams tends to push pace due the weak defense, which can’t force opponents to attack for 18-24 seconds. And at that pace teams should score 168+ points easily here.
In-deep stats & trends to follow
- Home avg. pace: 150 attacks
- Home avg. scoring: 1,062-1.07 pts/attack
- Away average pace: 156 attacks
- Away avg. scoring: 1.157-1.196 pts/attack
- Zalgiris 5-1 for Over/Under this season
- Galatasaray 5-1 for Over/Under
- Galatasaray 6-0 for over 165.5
Pick: Over 164.5 @ 1.95 Pinnacle
Paid subscriptions picks & previews
- Olympiacos – Barcelona
- Real Madrid – Panathinaikos
- Darussafaka – CSKA Moscow