FIBA WC-2010. Day 4 picks

fiba-turkey-2010China – Russia

After the game with Cot’d Ivoire D.Blatt said that he does not want to be a coach of NT anymore. There are rumours that CSKA Moscow does not allow V.Khriapa to play with injury and Blatt is angry because of this. He needs Viktor on the field but he stays away from the game saying he is not ready yet. Today Khriapa again is questionable but if he is healthy I have big doubts about his form because missed almost whole preparation and did not play for the team in most of the friendlies.

China needs to win this game to stay in playoff hunt. But victory is not enough they have to get better points balance with Russia and Puerto Rico and that is why they will look for at least 8 points victory today. China is not a bad team at all and with their 3-points shooting and good rebounding skills they can fight with russians here.

Russia on other side might lose this game up to 9 points. I am not satisfied with Russian NT level of game especially on offensive end and I expect a very close encounter here.

Pick: China +7.5 @ 1.93 3/10 188bet
Pick: China to win @ 4.25 1/10 Unibet

Cot d’Ivoire – Greece

Cots have some market support because of their good appereance in games vs China & Russia but  Greece completely another level. I am pretty sure that Greece will be a dominating side in this game on both ends of the floor. I expect 90+ points scoring for Greece and Cot d’Ivoire will struggle to score more than 66-67 points.

94-62 expected score and Greece (-25.5) or Greece over 88.5 points are good picks.

Pick: Greece over 89.5 @ 1.85 3/10 Unibet

USA – Iran

Sad story for Iran. I see pretty easy american victory here and possible under here. Sure it hard to bet on under when USA in on the court because you never know if americans are going to score 110 points against such weak team as Iran or not. But I expect something like 104-58 for USA here.

Lithuania – France

Can’t decide which side is better here. Intuition says that Lithuania has better team but France was looking more consistent during 3 played games. Let’s see what will happen but if I would be forced to bet I would probably choose Lithuania and over 144.5.

Argentina – Jordan

Tomorrow Argentina has a game versus Serbia and I don’t expect to play at 100% tonight. Jordan can score 60+ points and defend under 90 points so it would be pretty hard for args to cover such big handicap.

Pick: Jordan +24 @ 1.94 2/10 Pinnacle

Brazil – Slovenia

Another shot against Slovenia by me. Brazil will have A.Varejao in rotation and this should be a boost for Brazil game especially on dirty work (defense, rebounding. fighting and so on). Brazil has very good defense and very good universal offense. They can run, they can play low-post, shoot 3 points, play low-pace basketball. Also for Brazil this game has more importance because they did not play against direct competitors while Slovenia already won against Croatia.

I did not like how Slovenia played against Croatia. They were better only for 2 minutes when hit 4 or 5 3-pointers in a row but Croatia made a comeback. In half court offense Slovenia plays mostly individual. Defensively they are not as good as last year too and I expect a lot of troubles for slovenians defensive against Barbosa & Splitter especially.

Brazil is my favorite to win this match and most probably with 5-9 points margin.

Pick: Brazil (-3) @ 1.85 5/10 SBObet

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