Many games tonight and I will focus on three totals.
Milwaukee Bucks – Philadelphia 76ers
This season, teams met twice and the score was 174 both times. Since ASG break, Sixers games had much higher average than before, but Bucks had a huge drop in scoring on the other hand, traded offense oriented Knight, team’s best scorer for defensive oriented MCW (from the Sixers).
Sixers are in full tank mode and stopped trying to do something this season, so the players are focused on next year’s contracts, but Bucks are defense first team and for team to get 190 points, at least one has to reach 100 points and I doubt it will happen tonight.
Under 188.5 points, 1.90 odds – 7 units play – Pinnacle
Utah – LA Lakers
I see no reason not to take Under here. Jazz display amazing defense recently and while Lakers on a small surge in their games scoring wise, this is not the Over machine like last season and in the beginning of this one.
I know that the total suggests that the bookies aware of that, since this is the second lowest total Lakers got all season, but I will continue to check the Under for them in such games.
I think that bookies suggest themselves that they believe in the Under and there is no love lost between the two teams.
It’s hard to argue the total here and claim that my number is lower, but watching both teams play recently, the feeling is that both teams won’t reach 100 points.
95 – 81 type of game is what’s I’m expecting.
Under 191.5, 1.91 odds – 7 units play – Pinnacle
Houston – LA Clippers
Without Blake, Clippers discovered their defense and shown that they can play defense when they want, stopping their rivals below their total in 4 of the last 5 games.
Rockets at home this season already indicates an Under.
Last season and a half, teams met 6 times and average 210 points in games between them.
Houston home games average 196 points only.
Clippers average 209 points in road games and 206 in home games.
I don’t see a reason for an Over here.
Under 215 points, 1.94 odds – 7 units play – Pinnacle
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Best of luck everybody!!!