Today we have great games due to the holiday and we have some really good bets as well.
Chicago Bulls –Houston Rockets
I like two bets for this game – one is a system play and that is Rockets +1.5 first quarter and the other is Under 197.
As for the Under, teams met a month ago and finished with 182 points only. They average about 3.5 points lower than the total suggest and somehow, I just doubt that Rockets will be able to play fast ball two games straight against defense elite team like Memphis and Bulls.
As for system play, not much to write here.
Bulls terrible first quarter team, while Rockets start strong and fade away in second quarter usually.
Rockets +1.5 first quarter – 1.95 odds – 6 units play – Pinnacle
Under 197 points, 1.97 odds – 6 units play – Pinnacle
LA Lakers –New York Knicks
Books offer 107 line on the Lakers and it just seems few points off that target. Lakers scored 107 points, playing in MSG, without Gasol or Nash and scoring in regular percentages only.
The thing about this game is the crazy pace that both teams play and that makes it very hard for one of the teams to score less than 100 points.
I see no reason, as long as Lakers shoot regular percentage, nothing more, for them no to score 112 points at least here.
On top of that, Knicks start first quarters very poorly on the road. Lakers on the other hand, know how to handle things, playing at home – at least in the first quarter, before the terrible Lakers bench start to play.
Lakers Over 107 points, 1.91 odds – 7 units play – 5Dimes
Lakers -1 first quarter, 1.95 odds – 5 units play – Pinnacle
Miami Heat –Oklahoma City Thunder
Thunder are a great team off a loss in the last two season and now, facing the Heat as dogs, is too much value for me to pass on.
Bosh is sick. He will play, but don’t know how effective will he be.
Thunder off a loss is a great value, but with the revenge angle, after losing NBA Finals? That looks even better.
Important to notice, that unlike the NBA Finals, Perkins is healthy and that should help the Thunder, if they want to exploit Heat small ball tactic.
Furthermore, the poor game againstMinnesota, when Westbrook shot too many shots with really low percentage, should really help set the Thunder in the right direction.
I expect really great game from both Durant and LeBron, but I like supporting staff inOklahomamuch more important on this one.
Thunder +3, 1.90 odds – 7 units play – Pinnacle
Happy holidays everybody!!!