NBA Paid Picks Friday Night 22/02/13

Today we got many games both in Euroleague and in the NBA, but I will focus mainly on few NBA bets that I really like.

Atlanta Hawks – Sacramento Kings
Charlotte Bobcats – Chicago Bulls
LA Lakers – Portland Trailblazers

I will take this parlay because I really see no reason for it to lose.
I’m breaking my golden rule of not taking road team as a favorite in ML parlay, but Bulls of a loss to the Heat and I feel they will come out strong today.
Lakers can’t afford to lose any more home games, especially against direct rival for the final playoff spots.
Hawks won Kings 9 games in a row and now, after all the mess with Smith and possible trade have settled down, I fully expect Hawks to show up today.
Hawks + Chicago + Lakers to win – 2.15+ odds – various bookies (Pinnacle, 5 Dimes, Expekt and others)

 Oklahoma City Thunder – Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota are terrible at covering losing games. Thunder are just out of this league as far as covering the spread in a win off a loss.
I doubt that Wolves will win today and it’s a very simple math.
Thunder covers in wins after losses and Wolves don’t cover ATS in losses.
Thunder -13, 1.91 odds – 7 units play – Bwin

Charlotte Bobcats – Chicago Bulls

Cats struggle mightily to put points on scoreboard against the Bulls, even when they do win or cover somehow.
84.3 points average for Charlotte in the last 10 games between the teams and only three times scored above the total given today, winning two of the three. I just can’t see Charlotte winning today and after Bulls got their asses handed to them by the Heat, I fully expect defensive effort tonight.
Bobcats Under 89.5 points, 1.91 odds – 7 units play – WillHill

Brooklyn Nets – Houston Rockets

Rockets going small today, with Delfino as PF, so Over is a good option, with Houston going playing even faster basketball than they already are. They also probably going to lose, so Nets are the safer option here. The fact that Nets scored 106 points in Houston this season, despite losing and failing to cover and the fact that Rockets conceded above this number in 7 of the last 9 games and in all of their last 5 losses and in 9 of their last 10 losses adds to the confidence in this bet.
Nets Over 104.5 points, 1.91 odds – 7 units play – 5Dimes/ WillHill

Efes – CSKA

I like CSKA chances here, but I like the Over even more. I doubt one of the teams will stay below 70 points and at least one will cross 75 points. I’m not sure if one of the teams will reach to 80 points, but I expect Efes to score here 73 – 77 points and CSKA 76 – 80 points.
Looking at teams previous games, we can see that the averages prove me right, so unless teams will have really bad day on offense, we should see 151 – 154 points type of game.
Over 147, 1.94 odds – 6 units play – Pinnacle

Best of luck everybody!!!

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