Many good games tonight, but I will focus on those that I believe offer the best value tonight.
Minnesota Timberwolves – LA Lakers
Lakers average this season 113.5 points against the Wolves, but furthermore, in the last 7 games between the teams, only once Lakers failed to reach today’s total.
Pekovic can’t stop Dwight, Kirilenko can’t stop Kobe and Wolves backcourt is almost as bad as Lakers backcourt, when it comes to playing defense.
Lakers won 20 in a row against the Wolves and today will win again. I wrote already that almost every time that Lakers win, they score 100+ points.
See no reason for that not to happen again.
Lakers Over 103.5 points, 1.91 odds – 7 units play – WillHill
NY Knicks – Memphis Grizzlies
Since Melo is back, Knicks are 4 – 0 in favor of the Over as far as team totals go (and the same with SU and ATS). On top of that, without Gasol, Memphis defense in the paint is a joke, but without the punchline.
Gasol is their anchor on defense and I just can’t see them stopping the Knicks below 95 points at home tonight.
The fact that Knicks average for this game is 97 points, only adds confidence to this bet.
Knicks Over 93.5 points, 1.91 odds – 6 units play – 5Dimes/ WillHill
Toronto Raptors – Atlanta Hawks
Utah Jazz – Phoenix Suns
Not an easy bet, but I have to take the team that needs the game so much more and has great H2H history, against a team that seems to quit on this season already and been mailing in all the games recently, going 1 – 6 ATS in the last 7 games, beating only the Bobcats at home and even that was only 1.5 points above the line.
Hawks should win this one and probably easier than the odds suggest.
As far as Utah goes, motivation there is double the motivation for the Hawks, while Suns mailing it in for the entire season almost.
The odds really low, but for a very good reason. Surprises do happen, but a team that wants to make to the playoffs, just can’t even think about losing this one.
Hawks + Jazz to win, 1.95 odds – 6 units play – Ladbrokes/ 5Dimes
Best of luck everybody!!!