Today we got a lot of games and I like few of them, including this rematch from last week.
Atlanta Hawks – New Orleans Pelicans
Since last year, Hawks record, playing as a favorite off a home loss is 6 – 0 ATS and SU. Playing off any loss, Hawks, as a favorite, have 76% success rate. Pelicans on the other hand, been terrible as big underdogs, covering only 35% of the times they been underdogs by more than 8 points, the last two seasons.
Pelicans play B2B, after they got their first win of the season and Davis will either sit this game out or play well below his usual (probably).
Hawks off a rare home loss, losing to the Wolves, that got similar line.
I think that Pelicans, playing their 9 man rotation, are just not deep enough, to play more rested Hawks team, on the road on B2B spot.
Teams met few days ago and Hawks won by 6 points in NO and I believe that Hawks should win by bigger margin in today’s situation.
Teague might miss the game due to suspension, but I wouldn’t put too much in to that.
I think that Horford and Splitter can do a good job against Davis and without Holiday, Schroeder or Teague can destroy any back up PG that Pelicans might put (though they don’t have any).
I think that Pelicans will struggle to reach to 100 points, while Hawks should get to 110+ points.
Atlanta -10, 1.90 odds – 7 units play – Pinnacle
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Best of luck everybody!!!