NBA Picks Friday Night 04/01/13

Today we got a very big card as every Friday and the number of plays is big as well, so shorter write ups.

 

Boston Celtics – Indiana Pacers

I can easily see Boston win here, but it’s hard for me to imagine it going the other way. Indiana won Memphis at home, while Boston lost to Memphis at home. Now we should see a strange form of revenge, with Boston beating Pacers.
But the revenge angle is the least important, given the situation Boston are in.
Boston want desperately to avoid fifth loss straight and overall and second straight at home and are getting very short line against a team that they won almost in every game they had in Boston in the recent years.
Rondo is back, so is Bradley. Boston should be improving, especially with them getting small rest.
Boston -2, 1.92 odds – 7 units play – Expekt

LA Clippers – LA Lakers

Clippers are in terrible spot, playing 4 games in 5 nights, against very good opponents, after getting a very easy month, playing mostly at home, against very weak rivals with excellent rest between them.
Now it’s payback day for them. They appear to be unready for brutal schedule, to play good rivals one after another without any rest.
They simply seem lost.
This is a good team that can find they groove back in a split of a game, but I said before this stretch that I will be fading them in every game.
Clippers want the win, but Lakers need the win and badly. One game below 50%, one loss this season to their little sister in LA and they are very well rested, getting ready for this game for no less than a whole week and they are just ready to win.
Pau and Dwight will win the battle in the paint, Kobe will win the battle against Crawford and CP3 alone won’t be enough, especially against good rival like Nash.
The fact that we are getting 5 points of line seems to good to be true.
Lakers at home getting 5 points? I will take it any day of the week.
Lakers +5, 1.94 odds – 8 units play – Marathonbet

Oklahoma City Thunder – Philadelphia 76ers

Thunder off a loss where they conceded the highest number of points at home.
The only question to ask with those facts is what to chose, Sixers Under or Thunder with the line and the answer is, Thunder ATS.
Thunder have amazing record ATS wise in games after loss, especially those that they win and they will win this one.
Sixers can put up a fight, but I expect at least one quarter where Thunder will win in double digits and that should be enough to win the game ATS as well.
110 – 91 sounds about right here.
Thunder -10, 1.92 odds – 5 units play – 5Dimes

Milwaukee Bucks – Houston Rockets

I believe that while both teams are somewhat equal, Bucks at home should be getting 3 – 4 points line at least and not PK.
Rockets have a very poor record against the Bucks and Milwaukee, coming off a very poor home loss to the Spurs, will do their best to address their achilles heel, first half defense and start strong.
Bucks haven’t lost two straight B2B home games and I don’t see any reason why it should change today.
Both teams have scoring backcourt and scrapping front court and I see it as 60 – 40 Bucks game and not 50 – 50 like the odds suggest.
Bucks to win, 1.97 odds – 5 units play – Marathonbet

System play:
Cleveland to win first quarter – 2.00 odds – 5 units play – 5Dimes

Good luck everybody!!!

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