NBA Picks Monday Night 07/01/13

Card is complete for today, as we have two regular plays and three system plays.





Portland Trailblazers – Orlando Magic

Magic are terrible favorites, going 2 – 6 ATS, but good dogs with 14 – 10 ATS record and 7 – 4 ATS dog of 6+ points.
Portland are the same. They are very bad favorites, going 4 – 7 ATS.
Orlando come to this game carrying 8 straight losses on their back. But, 7 of those losses were by single digits and 5 of them were by 5 points or less.
This is a fighting team that doesn’t give up and Portland at home usually struggles to cover against such teams.
Magic are 0 – 4 in close games, while Portland are 5 – 2.
I believe that Magic will be 0 – 5 after this game.
Portland wins by a nose here by 1 – 3 points sounds about right here.
Magic +6.5, 1.97 odds – 5 units play – 188bet

New York Knicks – Boston Celtics

I been thinking most of the day if I want to play Knicks total Under 99.5 or Boston +6, but decided to play Celtics in the end.
Knicks still have Amare to integrate in to Knicks system and while they looked good the last two games, I believe that against good defense team and Boston are such, Knicks problems could easily reemerge.
Boston in Atlanta in HT, came out a different team. They played really good defense and good offense and as long as Bradley and Rodno keep the pressure on opponents back court, they will be a very tough unit to beat this season, let alone cover 6 points line.
I can’t say that Knicks can’t win and cover this one, so I’m keeping it low units, but I believe that Boston play much better the last two games and that’s something that still haven’t been taken in to account.
+4 is my line here, so 2.5 points value in my eyes.
Boston +6.5 – 1.91 odds – 4 units play – 188Bet/ WillHill

Due to Rondo getting suspended, I wouldn’t play this bet, so if you haven’t played it yet, I would hold on. I will count in my stats anyway, but fyi.

I would try Under 193 here that is still available in all bookies for 5 units though.

System plays:
Cleveland +3.5 – 1.91 odds – 8 units play – WillHill
Oklahoma -2.5 – 1.90 odds – 6 units play – Marathonbet

Knicks -1.5 (or -2) – 1.90 odds – 6 units play – Marathonbet

Good luck everybody!!!

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