NBA Picks Saturday Night 05/01/13

Today we got a revenge chance for Clippers that lost to the Warriors on Wednesday and this is the main bet on today’s card, together with few more smaller bets.

 

LA Clippers – Golden State Warriors

I been fading Clippers in all the games in this 4 games in 5 days stretch and this one I won’t miss, though Jack’s injury got me worried.
I can count on one hand the number of bench players that really made impact on their teams this season.
JR Smith in Knicks, Crawford (questionable for today) in the Clippers and Jack/ Landry duo in Golden State. Jack and Landry play really well together and they clearly offense oriented, so when Curry is out, you can hardly see any drop in Warriors production on offense.
I’m backing Warriors, hoping that Jack plays and Crawford is out, but I may cash out if it turns out before tip off that it’s the other way around, so I’m taking it with smaller units than I hoped, but logic is too good to pass on.
Clippers have yet to play 4 in 5 against such strong rivals. It was their first big test this season and the result so far are 1 – 2 SU and haven’t covered even once yet.
On top of that, CP3 played yesterday 41 minutes, 8 minutes above his average, possibly without Crawford to back him as far as scoring goes (different position – but both back court).
Interesting enough is the fact that teams met this season already on Saturday in LA and even one of the refs today will be the same as in that game.
Then it ended in GSW victory as 8 points dogs.
I won’t repeat myself about teams match ups, just look at my write up few days ago, when teams played in Oakland (on Wednesday article), but Warriors very bad match up for the Clippers.
If Jack plays, I believe GSW will get third win this season against Clippers.
If he is out, it’s anyone’s game, but the line still gives the edge to the Warriors (especially if Crawford will be out as well).
Warriors +6, 2.00 odds – 5 units play – Pinnacle

Dallas Mavericks – New Orleans Hornets
Indiana Pacers – Milwaukee Bucks

Dallas and Hornets both had good news recently with Dirk and Gordon returning to their teams respectfully after long injuries.
Dirk returned earlier than Gordon, but his integration was more difficult and took more time.
Today he should start for the first time this season and I believe that means he is capable of logging at least 20 – 25 good minutes and that should be enough here.
Dallas still haven’t gave up on playoff hopes and overall, better team at home than New Orleans. While Hornets have answers to any player that Dallas have, not always the answers just as good.
Many will be decided here by three pointers, but overall, Dallas will win such a game in 4 out of 5 games.
As for Indiana, they lost twice to Bucks in Milwaukee this season. The loss to Boston was huge, but I believe they were in small look ahead mode to today’s game.
They have good match ups against Bucks, great history against them at home and Pacers are one of the hottest teams in the league right now.
I believe that such a parlay will win at least 6 – 7 times out of 10 and we can get it at really high price of 2.20+ odds.
Dallas + Indiana to win, 2.28 odds – 7 units play – 5Dimes

System play:

Spurs -4 in first quarter – 1.91 odds – 6 units play – 5Dimes

Those that haven’t noticed, we have a comment option now available, so if anyone has a question, feel free to ask. Not promising to answer, but promise to try to find the time and answer.

Good luck everybody!!!

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