NBA Picks Saturday Night NBA 17/11/12

nba-logoToday I don’t see too many good bets, but there are a few I got my eye on. Since we got an early game today, I will post a play for it and if there will be more bets, I will add later on.

Boston Celtics – Toronto Raptors

I really can’t agree with this total and I think that it will go much higher till game time.

First of all, simple stats are that no matter how you look at it, teams averages in regulation this season combined are 193.8 (overall games) and 192.5 home/ road averages.

So I would set the line around those numbers.

On top of that, those are the new Celtics. Rivers uses different system this season, with a lot more transition game – something that he started doing last season already – something that fits Rondo (Barbosa) and Terry much more – this is also why he want from heavy Centers like Shaq and Perkins to Garnett playing the Center position with Bass as PF.

Toronto with Calderon also means that he will run very fast offense and will give absolutely nothing on defense.

I think that both teams should go over 90 points here.

Two only concern points are the fact that teams had very low scoring H2H the last 5 games (4 Unders) and that it’s early game – teams may not be ready to go full throttle from the start.

But, with such a low total, I expect the Over to hit without many problems.

99 – 94 sounds about right here.

Over 184.5 – 5 units play – Bwin

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