NBA Picks Thursday Night 07/02/13

Two really great games tonight and I will write few lines about each of them.





Boston Celtics – LA Lakers

In this series, take dog and Under each time and you will be in nice profit in the end of the season.
In the last 7 games in Boston, Lakers are 5 – 2 ATS wise and all the last 6 games results in an Under.
Today is also Nash’s birthday, so he should be having a good game tonight.
All in all, I think that Lakers with the line got around 60% to cover and if we add to that the fact that Boston is in B2B tonight, their first one without Rondo, I like Lakers chances even more, especially with Dwight being probable here.
Boston played very tough fourth quarter last night, erasing double digits lead by the Raptors. That tells me that they put win over direct rival for playoff spot above winning the slumping Lakers.
Lakers on the other hand, must continue to win and hope that Houston or other team in the West falls in to a losing streak.
Interesting that teams played 4 times on Thursday, on TNT, in Boston, since Garnett came to the team, all four ended with an Under.
My number here is 191.5 points and I believe that they will finish way below this number. Just look at H2H and recent results – it all points towards the Under.
LAL +2, 1.93 odds – 7 units play – 12bet
Under 194, 1.93 odds – 7 units play – Pinnacle

Denver Nuggets – Chicago Bulls

Noah is probable, so we got almost healthy Chicago (minus Hinrich and Belinelli) against Denver. With Nate and Butler in amazing form, both injuries aren’t that important.
But, I have to wonder, how Denver gets the same line today as they had against Milwaukee or Portland or even Hornets?!
Bulls have amazing road record both ATS and SU and last time teams met in Denver, Chicago also were 6 points dogs and Denver won 98 – 97 and Chicago got an easy cover.
Denver are 10 – 4 ATS playing at home, teams with winning record and Chicago are 8 – 4 ATS playing on the road against teams with winning record.
Chicago won in NY, Boston, Miami and many other very tough to win places. They been a bit bad going to the West so far, but I like their chances tonight and I think that 3.5 points would have been much more accurate line.
I think that Bulls can win SU, but you got to love them with the line here as well.
Bulls +6, 1.92 odds – 7 units play – Sbobet

No system plays tonight.

Good luck everybody!!!

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