NBA Picks Thursday Night 29/11/12

Today two really interesting game that promise high scores, but totals are set accordingly.

Miami Heat – San Antonio Spurs

It’s been really hard to decide between betting on Miami, taking the Over or just the Over on the Heat.

SAS are playing their 6th game on the road, 4th game in 5 days,  without Leonard or Jackson – two of their best LeBron guards.

So naturally, Heat can and should explode, especially given the fact that they have yet to score below 100 points at home this season and LeBron should have easier time than usual against the Spurs.

On the other hand, Spurs are in great form, they usually play really well on long road trips and they got trashed twice in Miami in the last two years, so they will try to avoid it.

Having said all that, I will take carefully Heat Over 105.5 points here.

I believe that if Spurs ease up due to fatigue, it will be on defense. They play at high pace recently and when Pop  lets his stars rest, the speed goes up, not down.

If Heat win easily, it will be only with them scoring 100+ points. If Spurs do show up to the game, it should be a really great game with high pace and Heat should still cross 100 points mark.

It’s true that they need to cross 105.5 points for the bet to win, but I think that Heat will score around 107 – 111 points, while Spurs are the big enigma for me tonight.

Heat Over 105.5 points, 1.91 odds – 5 units play – 5Dimes

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