NBA Picks Tuesday Night 19/02/13

No free plays tonight and only two plays tonight on paid subscription.

Utah Jazz – Golden State Warriors – Paid subscription

Utah gets Hayward back and with him, I expect them to play a lot better, especially on offense. Warriors have played absolutely horrible defense the last few games before heading out to the ASG break and all six of their last 6 rivals scored above their total and 5 of the 6 scored above 110 points. Today we get Utah’s total that is set on 103.5 points only and I just can’t see any logic in that. 

Utah in must win position, one game behind Golden State and after losing to them at home already, they have really nice offensive tools with Hayward back in the lineup and I see no reason for them not to be around that 110 points mark today.
I like Utah -3.5, Over 203.5 and Utah Over 103.5, but will take the bet that combines the other two.
Utah Over 103.5, 1.91 odds – 7 units play – 5Dimes/WillHill

Denver Nuggets – Boston Celtics – Paid subscription

I was hoping to see the line a bit shorter, but Boston has a terrible record playing against Western teams on the road as dogs and I have a very strong feeling that their amazing run without Rondo, run that was almost a miracle, got broken by ASG break and in this road trip, they will start a new streak, a losing one. They got 5 games road trip in the West, visiting Denver, Lakers, Phoenix, Portland and Utah and I think that best case scenario for them will be 2 – 3 here. 
Denver is a very hard place to play it, especially for an old bunch like Boston and Denver has revenge card, after losing in Boston after 3 OT, to snap their 9 games winning streak.
Very high line, but for a good reason.
Denver -8, 1.91 odds – 5 units play – Pinnacle

The subscription plays picks and write ups will be added the morning after the games.

Overall, I can say that right after the All Star Game break and two days before trade deadline, no need to rush any bets and it best to find the value on 1 – 2 games, no more.

Best of luck everybody!!!

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