Today there are only 4 games, but two actually have decent value I believe.
LA Lakers – NO Hornets
Interesting fact about the Lakers. They are 17 – 2 ATS in games they win. So when they are favorites, it’s best to either take them with the line or play ML against them and maybe even both.
So while there is always a chance that Lakers will go back to their usual mode, I will be that chasing Houston is motivation big enough, not to let go and try to play well and win games and close them out early.
Lakers won 8 of the last 9 games against the Hornets and I fully expect this to continue.
All in all, I think that Lakers will score between 104 – 107 points, while Hornets will score 86 – 91 points.
Lakers -7, 1.91 odds – 7 units play – PaddyPower
Detroit Pistons – Milwaukee Bucks
Detroit currently 4 games behind Boston that sits at the eighth place in the East. A win today and they are 7 games behind Milwaukee and 3.5 games behind Boston, with half a season to play and Boston without Rondo and look bad most of the time.
Till the ASG break, Pistons have 10 games, 7 of them at home. If Detroit will win at least 7 of them, I believe they will be at least one game closer to Boston than now.
If Detroit really still hopes to make it to postseason, this is a must win for them. At home, against decent team, but not great, one that they own badly and have great match ups against.
Bucks been playing not too bad on the road recently, even good, but they usually play mediocre first halves and this 11 – 10 record on the road feels too good to be true.
Sometimes, there is a feeling that a team should go back to natural size at any minute and the simple truth is that Bucks aren’t 50% success road team.
Detroit won them twice this season, including in Milwaukee after coach changes and won them 4 of the last 5 games in Detroit.
I will back them again today.
Pistons -1, 1.94 odds – 6 units play – Pinnacle
No system play tonight.
Good luck everybody!!!