NBA Picks Wednesday Night 05/12/12

Very bad luck last night, splitting the plays, but it should be much better tonight.

Charlotte Bobcats – NY Knicks

We saw last night in Washington what lack of focus and thoughts of tomorrow’s game can do to a favorite team.

Knicks can suffer the same fortune tonight, playing Charlotte that go under the radar and not sure that rightfully.

I really can’t understand the total set on the Cats tonight.

Cats score at home on average 98.1 points. Even if we remove the OT results, we get 96.1 points average.

Knicks on the other hand, concede no less than 99 points on the road (98 if we remove the OT points).

Charlotte been on a decent shooting stretch lately and no reason to assume it will stop against Knicks that been having some high scores as well.

I believe that Charlotte can win SU, but at worst, they should score much closer to 100 points than total suggests.

Charlotte Over 95.5 – 2.00 odds – 7 units play – Paddy Power

New Orleans Hornets – LA Lakers

I wouldn’t back Lakers usually in such a bad spot, but they 8 – 10 with a game in Oklahoma up next. A loss here and they can easily be 8 – 12 after this week and with 25% of the season behind, this is a record they never thought they will be at.

Hornets without two of their biggest stars, so absence of Nash and Gasol is minimized at best.

The fact that Hornets don’t have a true stopper fo rKobe and the fact that Lopez unlikely can cause Dwight foul trouble, the only worry is fatigue.

I will take my chances here, given the low line, that despite playing B2B with shortened roster, Lakers will find a way to win it.

107 – 91 sounds about right here.

Lakers -4, 1.91 odds – 7 units play – Pinnacle

LA Clippers –Dallas Maverics

Not an easy bet, but I will always make a bet on players that may have an issue with their former team and Brand and Kaman surely want to win this one.

The same goes for Mayo that got eliminated last year by the Clippers.

Clippers are in great form, but Dallas gets here a line of a very bad team and while they are far from being perfect and play without Dirk, I believe that 6 points would have been much more accurate line for this one.

Dallas+8.5, 1.95 odds – 5 units play – 5Dimes

Sacramento Kings –Toronto Raptors

Both teams off a rest. Both play at very fast pace and have great history of 200+ points games H2H – 8 of the last 9 games.

Looking at teams rosters and style of play – defenses that allow around 100 points per game – no reason to assume that tonight’s game, between two bad defense team, will be any different.

107 – 104 sounds about right here.

Over 197, 1.96 odds – 7 units play – Pinnacle

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