NBA Picks Wednesday Night 12/12/12

Four plays overall for today, hoping for a sweet night.

Minnesota – Denver

With both teams at 50% success (9 – 9 Minni and 11 – 11 Denver), the winner of this game will go above 50% rate and while it’s important for both teams, I always believe that in such situations, the edge goes to the home team, especially since they are just coming back to what was expected from them, with Love’s return.

Denver comes off a very 4 games road trip, but they been on a road much longer, playing 7 road games in the last 8 games overall (they came home, won and flew to the next destination).

The funny thing is that they will continue to do so, being on the road for no less than a month and a half! That’s just crazy!

Anyway, Minny needs to create a small streak of wins, if they want to be in playoffs and this is the perfect time to start – playing direct rival for playoff spot.

Love and Pekovic just much better than any front court Denver can put up against them. Kirilenko can guard Galinari in European match up and while Lawson can do damage against any of Wolves point guards, it’s hard to believe he can win the game by himself.

Minnesota-3, 1.91 odds – 6 units play – Unibet

Dallas–Boston

I think this total is a bit too low. Both teams off a rest- situation where the teams are 21O – 9 U combined and both teams been playing higher scoring games lately.

Averages wise, the total is on point but this is the type of game where I can easily see both teams scoring 100+ points.

Dallas not that good on defense and Boston at home will push up the pace and will score 100+ points. The main question is how much Dallas scores, but I believe that 104 – 96 type of game makes sense tonight.

Over 195.5 points, 1.93 odds – 5 units play – Pinnacle


Toronto Raptors –Brooklyn Nets

Toronto without half their roster, including two of their best scorers that also set the temp of the team – Lowry and Bargniani. Nets on the other hand, carry a long streak of losses on their back and will be looking to break the spell against the poor Raptors.

I believe that Nets will focus on defense, after few bad performances on the defensive end and that means they will try and stop Raptors below 90 points.

Raptors Under 90 points, 1.91 odds – 4 units play – 5Dimes

Oklahoma Thunder – New Orleans Hornets

Thunder average at home 108.5 points a game, while Hornets concede on the road no less than 104 points a game. Thunder average 105 points this season playing the Hornets, with both games played on the road.

I can’t see a reason why Thunder shouldn’t score 105+ points tonight. Thunder with 12 results of 100+ scores and should score today around 110+ points.

Thunder Over 104.5 points, 1.91 odds – 6 units play – WillHill


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