NBA Picks Wednesday Night 13/02/13

Today we got a lot of games and some offer really great value.

Update: Card is complete.

 

 

 



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Orlando Magic  – Atlanta Hawks

Stats give us a total of 191 points only and I don’t get this 198 total offered to us.
Teams have amazing H2H record of 20 Under results in last 23 games between the two in the last 3.5 seasons.
Teams met two month ago and scored only 166 points.
I realize that Hawks have high scoring games lately and so are the Magic, but this is a game that should cross 190 points even.
Under 198.5 points, 1.95 odds –8 units play – Pinnacle

New Orleans Hornets – Portland Trailblazers

I thought hard between Portland and Over TT on Portland and decided to split the bets.
Portland scored above this number in 8 of their last 10 games. Hornets on the other hand, conceded above this number in 7 out of 10 games.
It’s true that Portland, looking at the entire season, has 93.5 points average here, but with Hornets conceding 99.8 points the last 10 games and Portland scored 98.2 points the last 10 games, so I would say that the total here should have been around 96 – 97 points.
On top of that, Portland owns the Hornets, winning all 5 games between them in 2012.
Portland also in must win position, with Rockets in good form threatening to escape and with Lakers in great form catching up from behind, Portland needs a win to go to the break in a good mood.
If we add to that all the Over trends for this game, we get the bets for this game.
Portland +5.5, 1.91 odds – 3 units play – Betway
Portland Over 94.5 points, 1.91 odds – 4 units play – WillHill

Dallas Mavericks – Sacramento Kings

Not an easy bet, but I just can’t help but take it. Dallas destroyed the Kings, winning 9 out of last 10 games between the teams and all 4 last games in Dallas by double digits.
Dallas scored average of 111 points during that time and I can’t imagine better rival for this team than the awful Kings. The fact that Kings actually covered 4 games in a row, playing 4 games in 5 days and Dallas lost the last game, makes it even a better bet.
Dallas in must win position, angry as hell and plays a very bad team, the absolutely worst in the league.
Dallas -10, 1.94 odds – 4 units play – Pinnacle
Dallas Over 109.5 points, 1.91 odds – 3 units play – WillHill

LA Clippers – Houston Rockets

Clippers have small look ahead, but Rockets off a huge win, playing probably without Harden, against a team that have been playing really well lately.
Hate taking such big lines, but Rockets just don’t match up well against them, not one bit.
I expect Clippers to really make an effort here and to win at least one quarter by double digits and winning smaller 1 – 2 quarters more.
Clippers -10, 1.91 odds – 5 units play – NordicBet

New Jersey Nets – Denver Nuggets

Denver have a dreadful schedule, playing 4 games in 5 nights, all flights, with 3 OT games and many injuries. I expect them to really come out flat tonight.
Watson on the other hand, can step in Deron’s shoes, after doing it very well last season in Chicago, in games that Rose missed.
Nets with too long losing streak at home will look to break the spell before going to ASG break and they will succeed.
Nets -2, 1.89 odds – 6 units play – Pinnacle

System play:

Under 53 points in LA – 1.91 odds – 8 units play – 5Dimes

 

Best of luck everybody!!!

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