NBA Subscription Picks Saturday Night 01/06/13

Today we reach Game 6, elimination game and that should be great game.

 

 

 

Indiana Pacers – Miami Heat

This is a huge game for both teams obviously, as Pacers face elimination for the first time this playoff.
Andersen is out, but I really wouldn’t read too much in to that.
What is important in my eyes here, is that Pacers played Game 5 better than the Heat for 41 out of 48 minutes and won Heat during that time.
They had only one huge collapse that lasted for 7 minutes and even that was only when Pacers backcourt best defenders picked up fouls and on top of that, Pacers backcourt had the worst game they had against Heat this season and worst game in this season’s playoffs as well.
Indiana are the better team so far in this series and while Heat have the best player and amazing roster that can win any given day, I will take better team, that plays at home and are underdogs at home on any given day.
As far as the Under goes, elimination game, Heat struggles badly shooting wise and reached 92 points, despite 30 points scored in the third quarter, shooting 9 from 10 at one point.
Heat can always score 95+ points, but overall, I fully expect Pacers to react strongly to their poor game in Game 5 and close Heat players much better.
Final result like 89 – 85 in favor of the Pacers sounds about right here.

Pacers to win, 2.28 odds – 7 units play – 5Dimes
Under 183 points – 10 units play – 1.97 odds – Pinnacle
Heat Under 92.5 points – 7 units play – 1.91 odds – 5Dimes

Best of luck everybody!!!

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