NBA Subscription Picks Sunday Night 07/04/13

Many games tonight so I will start with the early game.

 

 

 

 

 

Oklahoma City Thunder – New York Knicks
Cleveland Cavaliers – Orlando Magic

Thunder will be looking to make a statement here. They play second best team in the East, that holds 11 games winning streak and Thunder always look at such games as challenges, even if they probably don’t have to prove anything to anyone, especially after winning both Spurs and Indiana both SU and ATS.
Knicks in their great streak, didn’t win any big rival (Heat on the road, but without Bron and Wade).
Thunder will show up for this one and should win.

As for the Cleveland bet, Orlando are pretty much done for the season and playing without their three best players – Nelson, Davis and Afflalo.
Obviously, Vucevic, Harris and sometimes Beno Udrih picked up their game due to injuries, but this is a team that won only once in the last 17 games and lost all of their last 10 road games.
This team can surprise, but I’m willing to bet that it won’t be the case, especially with Cleveland really fighting, even though I can’t see a reason for them to do so.
Cleveland at home should really win this one.
Thunder + Cleveland to win, 1.89 odds – 7 units play – Pinnacle
Thunder -7, 1.88 odds – 5 units play – Pinnacle

LA Clippers – LA Lakers

Lakers did pretty well so far this season on offense against the Clippers and I see no reason for them to fail today.
It’s true that Lakers lately discovered their defense, stopping their rivals below their totals in the last three games, but I believe that teams will play today at decent pace, allowing both teams to score around 100 points, maybe even slightly more.
I see Lakers scoring around 105 points here and Clippers around 100 points.
This is huge game for the Lakers that want to make the playoffs, don’t want to get swept by Clippers and in order to do both, they need to win tonight.
Lakers lately played very well and I see no reason for them getting such a low total or such high odds to win this one.
Lakers Over 97 points, 1.91 odds – 6 units play – Pinnacle
Lakers to win, 2.66 odds – 4 units play – Pinnacle

Portland Trailblazers – Dallas Mavericks
Sacramento Kings – Memphis Grizzlies
Cleveland Cavaliers – Orlando Magic

I wrote already about Cleveland, so I will focus on the other two teams.
Memphis won really easily against the Kings in all three games they had this season and while Kings appear like they called it a season, Memphis need this win and badly, after losing in LA, in their battle for the 3 – 5 spots in the West.
Right now, you just got to bet the teams with higher motivation and here this team is Memphis without a doubt.

Speaking about teams with higher motivation, Portland looks awful at the moment. 7 straight losses and in all of them, they just didn’t look like a basketball team.
Dallas on the other hand, know that this maybe the most important game they got left.
A win here and 50% record will be done and they will be able to shave (next game is at home against the Suns) and with LAL and Utah playing as dogs, there is a good chance that Dallas will have a very nice shot to close the gap from the eighth spot and get one game closer to that goal.
Motivation against teams that ended the season, very simple here in my eyes.
This parlay should win at least 6 out of 10 times for amazing odds.
Memphis + Dallas + Cleveland, 3.36 odds – 6 units play – Pinnacle

Best of luck everybody!!!

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