NBA Subscription Picks Tuesday Night 11/06/13

Huge pivotal Game 3 today and the bets are according.

SA Spurs – Miami Heat

The series started as expected, with Spurs winning Game 1 and Heat winning Game 2. Now it’s true money time and crucial pivotal game of the series. 11 out of 12 times, the team that won Game 3 in the new Finals format, with the series tied 1 – 1, won the title as well.
The only exception was Miami in 2011, when they won Game 3 in Dallas, but lost the Finals.
Heat gave almost everything they had and still the game was tied for the first 30 minutes and Spurs played their worst basketball this post season.
Heat did very smart thing, double teaming Spurs back court, forcing them to tough passes, even if that meant losing the battle under their own board.
That resulted in Spurs getting no less than 15 rebounds on offense (6 in Game 1), but making no less than 16 turnovers (4 in Game 1) that resulted in 19 points off turnovers.
Heat on the other hand, made only 6 turnovers and allowed only 2 points off them (15 points in Game 1).
Pop is one of the best coaches in the league and the feeling was that he is not showing his hand in Game 2.
When Heat started the pressure and started their run, Pop chose not to call a time out and I think he will have answers today to Heat’s pressure.
On top of that, roll players usually play much better at home than on the road, so that’s a big factor in Spurs favor.
Today I expect Spurs to hit their open shots, something they failed to do in Game 2 and to take better care of the ball – something that they shouldn’t have any problem to do.
Spurs should win this game and my predicted score here is 98 – 91 in Spurs favor.
Spurs -2, 1.97 odds – 8 units play – Pinnacle

Best of luck everybody!!!

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