NBA Subscription Picks Wednesday Night 13/03/13

Tonight we got two NBA bets.

Denver Nuggets – New York Knicks

I can’t agree with this line movement. In 9 of the last 10 games between the teams, both teams scored 100+ points and went Over today’s total. I realize that it includes D’Antoni era and games with Carmelo playing in Denver, but still, teams scored 218 points in a game that was played in MSG three month ago.
Knicks come off a terrible shooting night, scoring 63 points only. This is the lowest score for the Knicks of course. The two others were 76 and 80 points and in both cases, Knicks rebounded and scored 100+ points the next game and both games went Over.
Denver has much higher percentage of Over results on the road, but still, both teams are looking to run and both teams should put 100+ points on the scoreboard.
Obviously game can always end 103 – 101, but I see it as 117 – 107 type of game.
Over 206, 2.00 odds – 7 units play – Pinnacle

Oklahoma City Thunder – Utah Jazz

Thunder off a loss is always an auto bet and it rarely disappoints. On top of that, Thunder lost the last meeting with Utah, just a month ago and now eager to get their revenge, while trying to catch the Spurs (and Heat). Looking at Utah’s recent games in Oklahoma, they scored 94, 85 and 94 points.
Tonight, with Thunder coming in revenge mode and with Utah struggling to score on the road, I think that 92 – 93 points would have been much more accurate total here.
Utah Under 95.5 points, 1.91 odds – 7 units play – 5Dimes/WillHill

Best of luck everybody!!!

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