Subscription Picks Friday Night 08/03/13

Today we got 12 games and very big card, so I will start the topic and add plays from time to time.


Chicago Bulls – Utah Jazz

Bulls this season very poor as a favorite at home, but lately have improved a lot in that department.
Utah always was a very poor road team and given teams history, I just doubt they will pull an upset here today.
I also believe that Bulls latest surge got a lot to do with Rose practicing again. Their loss of form came in the same time with the news that he might miss the rest of the season and their resurgence came when it was obvious that he looks pretty decent and probably will return to finish the regular season and if he plays well, their championship chances look decent all of a sudden. They are currently in the 6th place, half a game ahead of the 7th Boston and 1 game behind 4th Brooklyn. I believe they will try to finish this season well and to give Rose a good reason to comeback this season.
Bulls -4, 1.95 odds – 6 units play – Pinnacle

Brooklyn Nets – Washington Wizards

Very big game for the Nets, as they are fighting to finish as high as they can in the Eastern Conference.
Wizards lately been playing horrible, especially on offense.
I believe that Nets will bring their “A’ game tonight and given overall trends, teams H2H trends and the very simple fact that their offense is a mess right now, I would give them here 82 – 85 points, but not 88,5 as offered today.
Wizards Under 88.5, 1.91 odds – 6 units play – WillHill

Brooklyn Nets – Washington Wizards
LA Lakers – Toronto Raptors
SA Spurs – Portland Trailblazers

LA and the Nets in a must win position if they want to achieve their regular season goals for this season. They play two teams that got nothing to play for, but their pride, though they probably won’t do the hosts any favors.
Bottom line is that in such a must win game, they both should win 9 out 10 times and I believe they will.
Spurs without Parker simply rollin lately and Portland on the road isn’t the type of team that should change that.
Spurs + Lakers + Nets to win, 2.07 odds – 7 units play – Expekt

Boston Celtics – Atlanta Hawks

One of my favorite spots in the NBA is to fade teams that come off a long trip, play only one home game and play on the road again.
That way, the home game turns to another road game basically, because you need to catch a plane again, but much worse.
When players come after very long trip home, they want to rest. To be with at their home, with their wives, girlfriends, mistresses, kids and what ever.
It’s a notorious flat spot for the teams.
On top of that, Hawks been playing 9 games already without 2 days rest. Boston on the other hand, had three days rest just two games ago and it was in perfect moment. After a very long road trip and before two road games in Philly and Indy.
Both teams off a rest, but I believe that Boston will be much better ready for this one.
As for the Under, it’s very simple as well.
Teams met 11 times in the last year. The average was 172 points between them and only one game finished above today’s total.
This is a battle for the 6th place to hopefully play NYK and not Pacers.
I expect very close battle between two teams that know each other very well and play each other very tough.
89 – 81 is my projected score here.
Under 189 points, 1.92 odds – 6 units play – Pinnacle
Boston -4 – 1.92 odds – 6 units play – Pinnacle

Khimki – Siena

Huge game in Moscow today, where Khimki play Siena. Siena won in Italy by 6 points and know that a win will almost guarantee them the 2nd place, but if they finish will lose by 5 points or lower, that will help them a lot and they will still have a game advantage over Khimky and tie breaker in their favor, so it’s 1.5 games advantage basically, that should suffice in order to finish above Khimky.
Here we get 8.5 points line. That’s even higher than Khimki themselves need and Khimki will gladly take 7 points win here as well.
I think that 6 points line would have been much more accurate line here, because teams will fight for straight win and if in the final minutes, Khimki will be on top, both teams will focus on the 6 points win from the first game.
I will try this one as a medium bet.
Siena +8.5, 1.93 odds – 6 units play – Pinnacle

Best of luck everybody!!!

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