Subscription Picks Tuesday Night 12/03/13


Today we got one European Cup bet and probably few more on the NBA.

 

 

 

 

 

Cleveland Cavaliers – Washington Wizards

The stats give us 188 points here and that’s with Irving playing. Without him, I think that even 185 is a bit too much here.
Teams met twice and failed to reach 180 points even. Obviously there is a chance that teams will make up for that in this game, but Wizards have 20 Under results in last 21 road games and teams had 6 Under results in a row between them.
Sometimes stats are more than enough to make a bet.
Under 191.5 points, 1.93 odds – 7 units play – Pinnacle

Miami Heat – Atlanta Hawks

Very easy spot here in my opinion. This is spot on total in theory, but looking at H2H results, you can easily see that since LeBron in Miami, all the meeting between the two in Miami, Heat didn’t come close to covering their total with 0 from 5 tries.
Heat in the last week won the only two teams that won them twice this season (Knicks and Pacers) and broke Clippers longest winning streak this season. Major let down spot and while one would expect the let down to be on defense, I will roll with the trends and take the Heat Under here.
Heat Under 103.5 points, 1.91 odds – 7 units play – 5Dimes/ WillHill

Brooklyn Nets – New Orleans Hornets

Nets are 6 points favorites against the Hornets, which is a lot, but I will still take this bet. Nets after a bad loss last night and while playing 4th game in 5 days, will be getting 4 days after this one and with the East being that tight and each win costing tons, I expect them to bring it on against second worst team in the West that plays without three players, including very important Anderson.
Brooklyn are 10 – 0 SU in their last 10 games at home as 5+ points favorites and 5 – 1 ATS in their last 6 games at home as 5+ points favorites, while Hornets lost their last three road games as road dog of 5+ points.
Brooklyn -6, 1.92 odds – 6 units play – 10Bet

Bilbao – Ulm

I wrote all my thoughts in general before the first game between them and it didn’t pan out.
We get almost the same total today and I will try my chances again, especially given the fact that this is a true decisive game, even more than the first one.
I think that Ulm won’t get to 70 points and Bilbao will struggle to get to 80 points.
The logic, the history and the stats on the side of the Under here, so let’s just hope that teams will play this time as they should.
My result here is Bilbao 77 – 68 Ulm.
Under 159, 1.92 odds – 7 units play – Pinnacle

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