Connecticut Sun – Phoenix Mercury
Connecticut like to play fast-paced basketball and Phoenix style will suit them. Not sure about their chances to win against high-quality Phoenix offense, but normally I see them scoring at least 74 points with low-to-medium percentage. If Sun will be able to score with higher percentage they can win this game too.
As for Phoenix seems that their new vision is to ability to play at any pace. They run and shoot against faster teams, and play half court basketball with slow defensive teams. At the beginning of the season there were some problems with shooting percentage but now seems that Taurasi, Dupree, Bonner and Gritner feeling quite well in offense.
I expect high pace game here, where Phoenix scores at least 80 points and Sun scoring 74+ points. Good chances for 160 points game and normally I would pick Connecticut spread, but if their shots will not fail into basket (as it often happens) this can be a 74:85 loss easily. So let’s take just one bet here.
Pick: over 155.5 @ 1.90 7/10 Bet365