NY Liberty – Washington Mystics
I already said what I think about Mystics when they played against Connecticut this week. This is very young team with many players (and coach) from Connecticut and it was easy for them to find motivation and desire to win there.
Mystics is 2-0 away from home but this is not normal for such young and inexperienced at this level roster. I expect Mystics to get their first away loss in New York.
New York has much better roster by names with Pondexter, Charles, Pierson, Carsson, Milton-Jones and others. They have depth, better equipped players but they are just 2-5 at this season and are on 3 games losing streak.. They also have 4 of 5 next matches away from home and they definetely will do their best to tie season series with Mystics to avoid slow start.
Normally Liberty should get 6.5-7 points line against such weak team as Mystics has. And if line would be -5.5 or higher I would skip this one. But with 3.5 handicap I feel quite secured about Liberty chances to cover this spread.
I expect Liberty to win by 6-9 points and difference might be higher if Liberty will improve their offense.
Pick: Liberty (-3.5) @ 1.95 7/10 Pinnacle