Zalgiris is all-time 9-1 against Brose Baskets in Euroleague. At the moment Brose is bottom team in my power ranking, due the unexpected loss to in-form Crvena Zvezda and another pitty loss to Baskonia. But as a team Brose is very dangerous opponent, which cause problems to all teams, but can’t win games in the end. Zalgiris is at the bottom of the ranking due the same reason. They can’t close out games, where they have a lead… So it will be very interesting to see, who will smile after tonight battle. Numbers pointing to Brose Baskets, which is 3-1 ATS in away games. History and feeling talks in Zalgiris favor.
As for the total I see good chances for underish game in Kaunas. The main reason of that is Zalgiris trend to accept opponents pace. Brose on of the slowest teams in competition with just 141 attacks/per game. Brose defense should work well against Zalgiris offense. Pango, Lekavicius and Westermann rarely plays pick-and-roll and they don’t have players who can be effective in isolations. Zalgiris attacks are as long as opponent defense capable to defend without mistake. Brose defensively looks very solid, especially in away games, where their offense is not so hot as at home.
- Home avg. pace: 147 attacks
- Home avg. scoring: 1.083 pts/attack
- Away average pace: 142 attacks
- Away avg. scoring: 1.033 pts/attack
I expect slow game with pace around 140-143 attacks. 144-154 total range is more correct and I go with under here.
Pick: Under 155 @ 1.91 Pinnacle
Milan – Fenerbahce
Fenerbahce still without Bogdanovic. Again we see them as away favorite against quality team like Milan. Fenerbahce already lost to Baskonia and Maccabi away from home and Milan as for me is better & deeper team than them. Milan is 3-1 at home this with only loss to Real Madrid. At the moment Z.Obradovic not even close to CSKA & Real Madrid level and they don’t deserve to get -2.5 points line in Italy.
I see good chances for Milan to take important 2 points at home after loss in Belgrade. They have enought talent and bench to get a positive result in front of own fans.
Pick: Milan to win @ 2.10 Bet365
Paid picks & previews
- Real Madrid – Unics
- Anadolou Efes – Crvena Zvezda
- Olympiacos – Maccabi